Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -39.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +30 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -40.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -22.6 (+7.4) | 150.9 (-4.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -24.8 (+5.2) | 157.0 (-11.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -31.7 (-1.7) | 155.7 (-9.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -31.2 (-1.2) | 152.7 (-6.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2021 | GONZ 95 – 49 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 4-10 |
| Home | 12-0 | 1-7 |
| Away | 7-0 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 19.9 (#4) | -16.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.11 (#1) | -2.38 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.52 (#2) | -3.73 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.763 (#2) | 0.390 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.7% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 26.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.3% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 65.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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