Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | CLT -800 UMES +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -2.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -3.7 (+12.3) | 143.4 (-19.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -1.9 (+14.1) | 140.6 (-16.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -3.5 (+12.5) | 146.1 (-22.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -3.6 (+12.4) | 144.9 (-20.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2022 | CLT 80 – 47 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#226) | -0.9 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#125) | -0.29 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#197) | -0.92 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#135) | 0.491 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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