Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -800 UMES +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +33 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -19.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -22.7 (+10.3) | 140.9 (-13.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -17.4 (+15.6) | 142.9 (-15.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2021 | CLT 70 – 54 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#64) | -3.3 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#123) | -0.59 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#114) | -0.91 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#88) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 43.5% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 23.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 17.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 90.9% | 53.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 36.2% |
Game Analysis
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