Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | SDAK +160 ORU -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -0.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -0.5 (-9.5) | 147.9 (+7.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -0.9 (-9.9) | 145.0 (+10.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -1.3 (-10.3) | 147.0 (+8.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.2 (-10.2) | 146.9 (+8.1) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORU 67 – 62 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2026 | SDAK 77 – 69 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SDAK 75 – 74 ORU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 82 ORU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ORU 77 – 62 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 77.8 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#281) | -1.5 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#178) | -0.94 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#186) | -0.77 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#195) | 0.475 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.