Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
Summit League · Sanford Coyote Sports Center · December 21, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -4.0 Away covered
O/U 145.0 Over
Money SDAK +160 / ORU -190
Model Predictions
Spread Total SDAK win
Actual ORU +9 155 Lost
Massey ORU -0.2 (-8.8) — —
Massey Totals — 146.2 (+8.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 87% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 84% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SDAK -0.5 (-9.5) 147.9 (+7.1) 62% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SDAK -0.9 (-9.9) 145.0 (+10.0) 57% ✗
Baseline ML SDAK -1.3 (-10.3) 147.0 (+8.0) 53% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SDAK -1.2 (-10.2) 146.9 (+8.1) 60% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 ORU 67 – 62 SDAK
Jan 30, 2026 SDAK 77 – 69 ORU
Feb 9, 2025 SDAK 75 – 74 ORU
Jan 17, 2025 SDAK 92 – 82 ORU
Mar 9, 2024 ORU 77 – 62 SDAK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SDAK ORU
Overall 19-12 19-12
Conference 11-7 12-6
Home 12-4 10-5
Away 6-7 8-6
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.7 81.5
Avg Pts Against 72.5 77.8
Massey -6.2 (#281) -1.5 (#208)
Bradley-Terry 0.12 (#178) -0.94 (#248)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.06 (#186) -0.77 (#233)
RPI 0.487 (#195) 0.475 (#217)
Shooting & Four Factors SDAK ORU
FG% 41.1% 41.9%
3PT% 33.5% 37.3%
REB / G 35.8 36.4
OREB / G 9.1 9.8
AST / TO 0.73 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 51.6%
TOV% 19.6% 16.2%
ORB% 26.5% 24.9%
FT Rate 31.0% 14.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 15.8%
DRB% 77.7% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.6% 14.7%

Game Analysis

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