Betting Lines
| Spread | ND -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | ND -7000 WMU +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ND +33 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ND -19.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ND -18.3 (+14.7) | 143.7 (-6.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ND -14.2 (+18.8) | 145.4 (-8.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ND -14.9 (+18.1) | 144.2 (-7.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ND -16.2 (+16.8) | 141.8 (-4.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2023 | ND 86 – 65 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ND | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-1 | 4-10 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#121) | -11.9 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#183) | -1.12 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#157) | -1.87 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#155) | 0.452 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ND | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.