We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Cross Insurance Center · December 21, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread MRMK -7.5 Home covered
O/U 114.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total ME win
Actual MRMK +2 96 Lost
Massey MRMK -10.7 (+8.7)
Massey Totals 112.2 (-16.2)
Bradley-Terry 13%
Weighted B-T 4%
Baseline Plus ML MRMK -10.8 (+8.8) 117.7 (-21.7) 14%
Model 4 ML MRMK -8.8 (+6.8) 117.9 (-21.9) 13%
Model 3 ML MRMK -9.5 (+7.5) 122.1 (-26.1) 18%
Baseline ML MRMK -7.8 (+5.8) 118.4 (-22.4) 14%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 20, 2025 MRMK 7265 ME
Nov 12, 2023 MRMK 7165 ME
Dec 11, 2022 ME 5047 MRMK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ME MRMK
Overall 6-23 14-16
Conference 3-15 10-8
Home 5-9 7-7
Away 1-14 8-9
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L3 W2
Avg Pts For 60.7 58.9
Avg Pts Against 73.8 62.8
Massey -21.9 (#358) -6.7 (#286)
Bradley-Terry -4.26 (#355) -1.53 (#294)
W. Bradley-Terry -6.25 (#357) -2.21 (#299)
RPI 0.314 (#354) 0.432 (#282)
Shooting & Four Factors ME MRMK
FG% 34.7% 36.4%
3PT% 20.7% 31.2%
REB / G 28.2 25.1
OREB / G 8.5 6.4
AST / TO 0.61 0.76
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 38.6% 42.9%
TOV% 24.4% 18.0%
ORB% 23.5% 18.1%
FT Rate 17.7% 16.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.3% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 20.5% 24.8%
DRB% 65.9% 61.5%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 24.9%

Game Analysis

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