Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -120 ME +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +3 | 97 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -9.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-35.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -5.7 (+2.7) | 126.8 (-29.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -7.7 (+4.7) | 132.1 (-35.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -8.5 (+5.5) | 132.9 (-35.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -7.2 (+4.2) | 131.1 (-34.1) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | MRMK 72 – 65 ME |
| Nov 12, 2023 | MRMK 71 – 65 ME |
| Dec 21, 2021 | MRMK 49 – 47 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#352) | 0.9 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.34 (#354) | -0.25 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.80 (#354) | 0.21 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#318) | 0.478 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.9% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 23.2 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.0% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 15.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 58.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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