Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -320 ME +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -6.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -5.5 (+1.5) | 130.6 (+6.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MRMK -5.5 (+1.5) | 132.1 (+4.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MRMK -3.7 (+3.3) | 131.8 (+5.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -5.4 (+1.6) | 130.2 (+6.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2023 | MRMK 71 – 65 ME |
| Dec 11, 2022 | ME 50 – 47 MRMK |
| Dec 21, 2021 | MRMK 49 – 47 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-0 | 4-8 |
| Away | 9-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#257) | -4.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#135) | -2.64 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#145) | -3.94 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#272) | 0.375 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 18.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 58.2% | 60.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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