Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | ME -450 MRMK +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -8.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -2.3 (-8.3) | 132.9 (+3.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -3.1 (-9.1) | 132.3 (+3.7) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | MRMK 72 – 65 ME |
| Dec 11, 2022 | ME 50 – 47 MRMK |
| Dec 21, 2021 | MRMK 49 – 47 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 13-3 |
| Home | 8-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 64.6 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#246) | -0.0 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#278) | -0.48 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#283) | -0.68 (#230) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 21.1% |
| REB / G | 25.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.9% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 12.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 15.8% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 13.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 90.5% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.5% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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