Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | OMA +165 STMN -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -11.4 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -9.9 (+2.9) | 147.9 (+5.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -9.7 (+2.7) | 151.1 (+1.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -8.0 (+1.0) | 152.9 (+0.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -8.3 (+1.3) | 148.8 (+4.2) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | STMN 68 – 53 OMA |
| Feb 13, 2026 | OMA 98 – 94 STMN |
| Mar 10, 2025 | OMA 85 – 75 STMN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | STMN 95 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | OMA 89 – 78 STMN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-9 | 5-8 |
| Away | 0-15 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -15.9 (#353) | 0.0 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.38 (#347) | -0.96 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.84 (#349) | -1.16 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#328) | 0.454 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.