Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
| Money | UNCW +175 CAM -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +7 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -6.1 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -3.2 (+10.2) | 130.1 (-7.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -3.0 (+10.0) | 132.0 (-9.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -3.3 (+10.3) | 132.0 (-9.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -2.7 (+9.7) | 131.2 (-8.2) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CAM 85 – 70 UNCW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UNCW 73 – 68 CAM |
| Jan 18, 2026 | UNCW 78 – 75 CAM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 60 CAM |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UNCW 77 – 69 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#302) | 2.4 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#261) | 0.50 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#275) | 0.36 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#305) | 0.502 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.5% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 11.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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