Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +30 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -11.7 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -15.6 (+14.4) | 132.7 (+1.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -12.5 (+17.5) | 133.8 (+0.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -12.9 (+17.1) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -11.8 (+18.2) | 133.9 (+0.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 13-7 |
| Away | 1-11 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#59) | 0.7 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#20) | -0.73 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#30) | -1.13 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#24) | 0.428 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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