Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +20 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | BALL -14.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -14.7 (+5.3) | 138.9 (-8.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -12.2 (+7.8) | 139.8 (-9.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -11.7 (+8.3) | 136.8 (-6.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -13.2 (+6.8) | 138.8 (-8.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2022 | BALL 76 – 59 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-5 | 4-9 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 54.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#292) | -17.3 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#214) | -4.80 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#223) | -6.15 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#207) | 0.318 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 35.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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