Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +500 BALL -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +17 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | BALL -8.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -7.8 (-9.2) | 135.4 (-0.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -7.0 (-10.0) | 136.4 (-1.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -7.3 (-9.7) | 135.2 (-0.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -8.7 (-8.3) | 135.5 (-0.5) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2021 | BALL 75 – 55 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#345) | 1.2 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.02 (#359) | 0.15 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.98 (#362) | 0.52 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.289 (#362) | 0.514 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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