Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 118.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +28 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -14.9 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -14.4 (-13.6) | 124.0 (+8.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -11.1 (-16.9) | 124.9 (+7.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -13.1 (-14.9) | 127.9 (+4.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -14.6 (-13.4) | 125.1 (+6.9) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | IUIN 85 – 80 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 2-11 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 51.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 64.4 |
| Massey | -17.8 (#356) | 1.5 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.17 (#354) | 1.11 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.62 (#353) | 1.51 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.300 (#356) | 0.589 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 28.0% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 10.7% |
Game Analysis
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