Betting Lines
| O/U | 181.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN -155 MORE +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | IUIN -4.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 187.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IUIN -4.9 (+0.1) | 154.8 (+10.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IUIN -3.9 (+1.1) | 159.3 (+5.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IUIN -3.9 (+1.1) | 161.6 (+3.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IUIN -3.6 (+1.4) | 158.1 (+6.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2021 | MORE 80 – 52 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 15-5 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.2 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#292) | -6.5 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#245) | -0.78 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#226) | -1.43 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#254) | 0.491 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 15.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 61.1% | 57.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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