Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -14.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -13.5 (+0.5) | 143.2 (-7.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -11.0 (+3.0) | 143.2 (-7.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -11.8 (+2.2) | 143.2 (-7.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -9.8 (+4.2) | 141.8 (-5.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2023 | FUR 76 – 61 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#109) | -6.0 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#115) | 0.20 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#110) | -0.09 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#108) | 0.511 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 25.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.