Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -1200 PRES +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +15 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -11.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (-29.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -13.9 (+1.1) | 154.4 (-17.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -8.8 (+6.2) | 154.0 (-17.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -9.9 (+5.1) | 156.4 (-19.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -9.3 (+5.7) | 155.9 (-18.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2021 | FUR 75 – 61 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#170) | -6.8 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#234) | -1.20 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#209) | -1.55 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#214) | 0.400 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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