Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +5 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UCD -11.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -9.5 (-14.5) | 142.9 (-17.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -10.0 (-15.0) | 144.4 (-19.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -10.7 (-15.7) | 144.7 (-19.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -9.9 (-14.9) | 144.2 (-19.2) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | PORT 67 – 63 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 5-6 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#138) | -5.5 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#120) | -0.99 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#165) | -1.63 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#135) | 0.400 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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