Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | PORT -125 UCD +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +4 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -7.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -5.7 (-1.7) | 147.9 (-17.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -6.1 (-2.1) | 149.7 (-19.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -6.7 (-2.7) | 145.2 (-15.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2021 | PORT 65 – 60 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 1-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#283) | 0.3 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#137) | 0.37 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#142) | 0.53 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#76) | 0.500 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 56.6% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 50.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 64.2% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 26.4% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 44.0% |
| FT Rate | 42.4% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 38.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 53.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 42.1% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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