Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | FLA -2800 STBK +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +25 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -16.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -13.0 (+12.0) | 141.0 (+8.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -16.8 (+8.2) | 141.8 (+7.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -12.8 (+12.2) | 141.6 (+7.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -13.7 (+11.3) | 141.3 (+7.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | FLA 81 – 45 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#39) | -1.8 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#95) | 0.55 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#94) | 0.65 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#107) | 0.513 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 12.2% |
Game Analysis
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