You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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55–17 on winners spread MAE 7.9 72 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis -3.0 133.3 35% 72–65 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley +3.0 143.2 56% 86–76 ✗
Texas State @ Sam Houston +4.2 132.8 66% 73–60 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Colorado +19.8 155.9 91% 68–90 ✓
Cleveland State @ Bradley +7.1 141.4 78% 76–69 ✗
New Mexico @ New Mexico State -11.2 155.3 15% 73–72 ✓
UConn @ Gonzaga -3.8 145.0 34% 76–63 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Fresno State +6.6 138.5 73% 58–61 ✓
Portland State @ San Diego +0.7 141.4 50% 65–69 ✓
LSU @ Texas +7.0 137.9 73% 85–96 ✓
La Salle @ Miami +14.3 155.3 87% 77–84 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Penn State +0.8 139.0 51% 82–81 ✗
Lindenwood @ IU Indianapolis -1.0 139.5 38% 73–67 ✓
Kansas @ Indiana -3.0 144.3 37% 75–71 ✓
NJIT @ Niagara +3.5 145.1 64% 81–89 ✓
Long Island University @ Rutgers +18.5 133.3 90% 61–83 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Providence +19.1 137.5 90% 64–78 ✓
Indiana State @ Ball State -13.9 147.0 13% 83–72 ✓
Baylor @ Michigan State -6.3 142.0 24% 64–88 ✗
James Madison @ Hampton -11.9 162.4 17% 88–71 ✓
Dartmouth @ Le Moyne +0.6 134.7 48% 54–80 ✓
Southern @ Tulane +8.5 156.9 80% 81–105 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Mercer +4.0 136.9 66% 65–70 ✓
Norfolk State @ Hofstra +11.1 143.0 84% 58–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Presbyterian +2.5 155.4 57% 94–84 ✗
Towson @ Bryant -0.8 130.4 46% 93–101 ✗
Rider @ Monmouth +11.0 141.2 85% 71–77 ✓
UAlbany @ Drexel +6.2 135.1 71% 52–71 ✓
Kansas City @ Bowling Green +6.4 140.7 76% 69–79 ✓
Washington State @ Santa Clara -9.5 145.7 20% 61–69 ✗
Western Michigan @ UIC +13.5 132.3 86% 68–89 ✓
South Carolina State @ Pittsburgh +23.4 150.2 91% 50–86 ✓
Temple @ VCU +7.9 144.9 75% 78–87 ✓
Georgetown @ Notre Dame +4.1 135.7 66% 72–68 ✗
Texas A&M @ Houston +8.5 130.5 78% 66–70 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Michigan +17.1 147.8 90% 66–83 ✓
Clemson @ Memphis +2.2 148.8 54% 77–79 ✓
Austin Peay @ Western Kentucky +8.7 133.4 79% 64–65 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Georgia Southern -8.6 143.5 18% 82–77 ✓
Rice @ Northwestern State -6.1 143.5 28% 76–51 ✓
UCLA @ Ohio State +6.5 137.3 74% 60–67 ✓
Missouri State @ Tulsa +2.4 141.6 58% 72–73 ✓
Belmont @ Samford +5.3 159.7 70% 93–99 ✓
Radford @ Bucknell -0.7 134.0 48% 70–63 ✓
Fordham @ St. John's +14.1 146.1 88% 55–77 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ St. Bonaventure -7.2 147.8 24% 64–54 ✓
San Francisco @ Utah State +2.4 138.5 62% 53–54 ✓
Chicago State @ Valparaiso +4.1 131.5 65% 63–62 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Murray State +11.0 143.6 85% 61–55 ✗
Evansville @ Bellarmine -1.1 142.4 46% 70–61 ✓
North Alabama @ Tennessee Tech -0.3 144.6 50% 67–70 ✗
Utah Valley @ Utah +13.4 141.7 88% 62–76 ✓
Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona +3.9 145.7 65% 74–76 ✓
Vermont @ Virginia Tech +8.9 137.5 78% 51–73 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ App State +8.1 138.6 79% 59–80 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ South Florida +3.0 140.2 63% 64–77 ✓
Arizona @ Purdue -2.9 160.8 38% 84–92 ✗
Florida A&M @ Iowa +17.7 148.0 90% 52–88 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Loyola Marymount +2.1 143.4 57% 68–59 ✗
Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate -2.1 144.1 37% 70–53 ✓
Central Connecticut @ UMass Lowell +11.2 143.2 86% 57–54 ✗
Air Force @ UT Arlington -2.3 132.0 43% 73–76 ✗
UC Davis @ Pacific -3.6 138.4 33% 82–61 ✓
Rhode Island @ Delaware +7.0 142.6 75% 56–67 ✓
North Carolina @ Kentucky -0.4 165.2 51% 83–87 ✗
Northwestern @ DePaul -3.8 144.4 32% 56–46 ✓
High Point @ Georgia +4.3 148.4 68% 58–66 ✓
Northeastern @ Virginia +14.8 130.9 88% 54–56 ✓
Lipscomb @ Arkansas +1.7 148.2 56% 66–69 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina +22.4 137.5 91% 69–73 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ George Mason +16.8 140.4 90% 54–62 ✓
West Virginia @ Massachusetts +5.7 141.3 72% 79–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.