Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC +130 UNA -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -0.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -0.4 (+2.6) | 147.8 (-10.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -0.0 (+3.0) | 145.6 (-8.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -0.3 (+3.3) | 144.6 (-7.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -1.8 (+4.8) | 145.3 (-8.3) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNA 82 – 59 TNTC |
| Dec 1, 2023 | UNA 86 – 71 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#308) | -3.0 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#290) | -0.55 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#290) | -0.92 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#308) | 0.452 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 16.8% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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