Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -500 CLE +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -10.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -7.7 (-14.7) | 143.1 (+1.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -7.1 (-14.1) | 141.4 (+3.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -7.5 (-14.5) | 141.9 (+3.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -6.6 (-13.6) | 143.0 (+2.0) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#113) | -1.6 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#53) | -0.03 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#73) | -0.12 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#23) | 0.484 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.