See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Templeton Center · December 16, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -5.5 Away covered
O/U 159.5 Over
Money PRES +200 / KENN -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total PRES win
Actual KENN +10 178 Lost
Massey PRES -2.8 (-12.8)
Massey Totals 164.0 (+14.0)
Bradley-Terry 52%
Weighted B-T 52%
Baseline Plus ML PRES -2.4 (-12.4) 157.0 (+21.0) 56%
Baseline ML PRES -2.0 (-12.0) 153.6 (+24.4) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML PRES -2.5 (-12.5) 155.4 (+22.6) 57%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -1.6 (-8.4) 158.9 (+19.1) 43%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 16, 2024 KENN 8567 PRES

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PRES KENN
Overall 14-19 15-16
Conference 6-10 6-10
Home 8-7 9-5
Away 5-9 4-11
Neutral 1-3 2-0
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 72.0 81.5
Avg Pts Against 74.6 83.7
Massey -5.3 (#271) -3.3 (#234)
Bradley-Terry -0.92 (#273) 0.01 (#177)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.27 (#272) -0.15 (#187)
RPI 0.401 (#313) 0.466 (#234)
Shooting & Four Factors PRES KENN
FG% 46.5% 42.9%
3PT% 35.8% 30.3%
REB / G 34.6 39.1
OREB / G 7.8 13.8
AST / TO 1.10 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 49.1%
TOV% 17.9% 15.7%
ORB% 22.8% 32.0%
FT Rate 25.7% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 20.5%
DRB% 73.5% 64.6%
Opp FT Rate 28.8% 33.5%

Game Analysis

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