Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
VyStar Arena · November 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -4.5 Home covered
O/U 158.5 Under
Money KENN -195 / PRES +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +18 152 Won
Massey KENN -9.0 (+9.0)
Massey Totals 163.2 (-11.2)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 82%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -5.4 (+12.6) 151.1 (+0.9) 68%
Baseline ML KENN -5.3 (+12.7) 151.2 (+0.8) 74%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -4.5 (+13.5) 150.4 (+1.6) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 16, 2023 KENN 9484 PRES

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN PRES
Overall 19-14 14-19
Conference 10-8 7-9
Home 12-3 8-5
Away 5-8 4-12
Neutral 2-3 2-2
Last 5 0-1 1-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 73.7 70.5
Avg Pts Against 74.0 72.9
Massey 0.0 (#182) -0.6 (#196)
Bradley-Terry -1.18 (#293) -0.55 (#230)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.46 (#280) -0.87 (#238)
RPI 0.375 (#277) 0.417 (#254)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN PRES
FG% 45.0% 51.2%
3PT% 48.4% 41.8%
REB / G 36.0 29.7
OREB / G 11.0 10.3
AST / TO 1.00 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.5% 58.1%
TOV% 23.1% 17.3%
ORB% 32.4% 33.7%
FT Rate 25.0% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.7% 60.8%
Opp TOV% 10.7% 15.0%
DRB% 62.5% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 56.5% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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