Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -23.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -21.1 (-4.1) | 145.6 (+3.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -17.1 (-0.1) | 147.8 (+1.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -18.5 (-1.5) | 147.6 (+1.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -18.2 (-1.2) | 144.6 (+4.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | MICH 88 – 83 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-10 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#53) | -9.6 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#112) | -0.58 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#89) | -0.88 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#74) | 0.461 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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