Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -125 URI +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -8.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -6.0 (+5.0) | 140.3 (-17.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -7.0 (+4.0) | 142.6 (-19.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -6.1 (+4.9) | 144.1 (-21.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -7.0 (+4.0) | 141.6 (-18.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-8 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#90) | -3.1 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#93) | -0.73 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#70) | -0.73 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#101) | 0.468 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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