Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -333 APSU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +1 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -10.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -10.9 (-9.9) | 134.9 (-5.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -8.7 (-7.7) | 133.4 (-4.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -8.9 (-7.9) | 132.4 (-3.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -9.0 (-8.0) | 134.1 (-5.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2022 | WKU 75 – 74 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#146) | -4.4 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#136) | -0.31 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#149) | -0.63 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#206) | 0.467 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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