Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +22 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -23.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -23.1 (-1.1) | 135.4 (+8.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -18.5 (+3.5) | 133.3 (+10.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -20.4 (+1.6) | 133.7 (+10.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -21.4 (+0.6) | 136.2 (+7.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#71) | -11.8 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#102) | -2.08 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#91) | -2.54 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#83) | 0.385 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.