Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +36 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -28.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -25.2 (+10.8) | 147.5 (-11.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -23.4 (+12.6) | 150.2 (-14.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -26.0 (+10.0) | 151.4 (-15.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -27.4 (+8.6) | 151.3 (-15.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 13-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#36) | -12.7 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#107) | -2.14 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#88) | -3.24 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#102) | 0.386 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 16.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 38.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 38.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.