Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UML -700 CCSU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +3 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -15.1 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-34.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -13.3 (-16.3) | 141.8 (-30.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -11.2 (-14.2) | 143.2 (-32.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UML -12.1 (-15.1) | 142.6 (-31.6) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -11.6 (-14.6) | 143.0 (-32.0) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | CCSU 69 – 67 UML |
| Nov 17, 2021 | UML 77 – 53 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 13-3 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#97) | -5.5 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#83) | -1.71 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#84) | -2.19 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#131) | 0.421 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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