UMass Lowell
River Hawks
77
–
53
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Showcase
Central Connecticut
Blue Devils
Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +24 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UML -7.7 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -6.9 (+17.1) | 129.2 (+0.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -4.9 (+19.1) | 136.3 (-6.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -5.1 (+18.9) | 136.8 (-6.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -5.2 (+18.8) | 132.4 (-2.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | CCSU 69 – 67 UML |
| Dec 16, 2023 | CCSU 57 – 54 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#250) | -11.0 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#161) | -0.87 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#187) | -1.28 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#68) | 0.312 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 32.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 8.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 63.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.