Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -1000 FOR +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +22 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -14.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -13.7 (+8.3) | 147.1 (-15.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -13.5 (+8.5) | 147.2 (-15.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -14.1 (+7.9) | 146.1 (-14.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -11.5 (+10.5) | 144.9 (-12.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2024 | SJU 92 – 60 FOR |
| Dec 6, 2021 | SJU 83 – 69 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#60) | -1.4 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#114) | -0.75 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#108) | -1.01 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#105) | 0.454 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 18.2 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 45.8% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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