Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SJU -1700 FOR +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -9.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -6.8 (+7.2) | 155.4 (-3.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -6.6 (+7.4) | 152.5 (-0.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -6.3 (+7.7) | 152.5 (-0.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -11.7 (+2.3) | 152.0 (-0.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2024 | SJU 92 – 60 FOR |
| Dec 16, 2023 | SJU 77 – 55 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#92) | 0.4 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#165) | 0.04 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#113) | 0.13 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#217) | 0.471 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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