Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -500 NORF +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +16 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -12.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -10.5 (+5.5) | 143.3 (-11.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -10.9 (+5.1) | 143.6 (-11.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -11.1 (+4.9) | 143.0 (-11.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -10.4 (+5.6) | 143.9 (-11.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2024 | HOF 80 – 67 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-3 |
| Home | 11-2 | 15-0 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#84) | -1.7 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#111) | -0.16 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#97) | -0.61 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#100) | 0.480 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
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