Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -195 HOF +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +13 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -11.3 (-24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -9.3 (-22.3) | 132.6 (+14.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -9.6 (-22.6) | 136.0 (+11.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -8.2 (-21.2) | 135.0 (+12.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -6.3 (-19.3) | 132.3 (+14.7) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | HOF 74 – 58 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#99) | -2.4 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#100) | 0.87 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#99) | 1.18 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#84) | 0.550 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.