And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
Colonial Life Arena · December 16, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SC -19.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money SC -2500 / CHSO +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual SC +4 142 Won
Massey SC -28.6 (-24.6)
Massey Totals 133.4 (+8.6)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML SC -20.3 (-16.3) 133.8 (+8.2) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML SC -22.4 (-18.4) 137.5 (+4.5) 91%
Baseline ML SC -24.6 (-20.6) 135.7 (+6.3) 91%
Baseline Plus ML SC -23.9 (-19.9) 134.2 (+7.8) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 28, 2025 SC 7462 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC CHSO
Overall 26-8 10-20
Conference 13-5 6-10
Home 14-3 7-7
Away 8-3 3-12
Neutral 4-2 0-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 72.1 64.0
Avg Pts Against 67.6 74.5
Massey 8.7 (#51) -15.0 (#354)
Bradley-Terry 3.89 (#4) -2.95 (#346)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.56 (#3) -4.51 (#355)
RPI 0.662 (#6) 0.356 (#354)
Shooting & Four Factors SC CHSO
FG% 45.6% 40.5%
3PT% 38.6% 31.1%
REB / G 35.2 31.3
OREB / G 9.7 8.4
AST / TO 1.48 0.63
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 46.1%
TOV% 15.0% 21.8%
ORB% 28.7% 25.0%
FT Rate 24.7% 27.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.0% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 14.5%
DRB% 74.4% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.8% 30.0%

Game Analysis

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