If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Colonial Life Arena · November 28, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SC -16.5 Away covered
Money SC -2400 / CHSO +1200
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual SC +12 136 Won
Massey SC -17.6 (-5.6)
Massey Totals 160.1 (-24.1)
Bradley-Terry 82%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML SC -17.5 (-5.5) 155.2 (-19.2) 88%
Baseline Tuned ML SC -13.7 (-1.7) 149.7 (-13.7) 87%
Baseline ML SC -13.7 (-1.7) 150.6 (-14.6) 86%
Baseline Plus ML SC -15.4 (-3.4) 154.6 (-18.6) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 16, 2023 SC 7369 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC CHSO
Overall 13-19 15-17
Conference 4-14 6-10
Home 11-8 10-4
Away 2-8 5-11
Neutral 0-3 0-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 80.9
Avg Pts Against 76.5 81.0
Massey 7.1 (#79) -4.8 (#247)
Bradley-Terry 0.63 (#131) 0.19 (#169)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.27 (#117) 0.30 (#169)
RPI 0.554 (#100) 0.455 (#246)
Shooting & Four Factors SC CHSO
FG% 45.6% 43.7%
3PT% 33.5% 38.3%
REB / G 36.0 40.7
OREB / G 10.7 11.8
AST / TO 1.75 1.30
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.1% 53.4%
TOV% 14.4% 18.7%
ORB% 30.3% 30.1%
FT Rate 26.0% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 11.9%
DRB% 70.4% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 26.3% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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