Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LEM +110 DART -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +26 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | LEM -0.0 (+26.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -0.9 (+25.1) | 137.4 (-3.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -0.9 (+25.1) | 135.1 (-1.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -0.6 (+25.4) | 134.7 (-0.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -2.0 (+24.0) | 136.6 (-2.6) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2024 | LEM 80 – 76 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 6-21 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-14 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#340) | -7.2 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#308) | -0.72 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#307) | -0.84 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#315) | 0.449 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 17.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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