Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | DART -250 LEM +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | DART -6.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -7.3 (-11.3) | 151.4 (+4.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DART -6.2 (-10.2) | 148.9 (+7.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -6.0 (-10.0) | 147.8 (+8.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -5.1 (-9.1) | 151.8 (+4.2) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | LEM 80 – 54 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#294) | -9.6 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#257) | -1.80 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#265) | -2.74 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#269) | 0.406 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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