Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | TULN -1000 SOU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +24 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -10.9 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -11.3 (+12.7) | 156.7 (+29.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -8.5 (+15.5) | 156.9 (+29.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -9.2 (+14.8) | 156.2 (+29.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -10.7 (+13.3) | 159.4 (+26.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | SOU 73 – 70 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#117) | -2.6 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#95) | 0.67 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#93) | 0.06 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#147) | 0.543 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 43.8% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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