Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -500 TEM +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +9 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -9.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -8.2 (+0.8) | 146.2 (+18.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -7.9 (+1.1) | 144.9 (+20.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -7.9 (+1.1) | 145.8 (+19.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -7.3 (+1.7) | 147.4 (+17.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | TEM 83 – 73 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-14 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#86) | 0.8 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#195) | 1.02 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#157) | 1.00 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#161) | 0.566 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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