Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -4000 UVU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -16.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -12.4 (+1.6) | 141.8 (-3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -13.4 (+0.6) | 141.7 (-3.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -12.6 (+1.4) | 141.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -13.5 (+0.5) | 143.5 (-5.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2020 | UTAH 75 – 67 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#26) | 0.2 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#26) | 0.67 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#30) | 0.82 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.638 (#15) | 0.533 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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