Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | UTAH -4000 UVU +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -14.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -9.5 (-1.5) | 143.6 (-1.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -12.2 (-4.2) | 148.6 (-6.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -12.4 (-4.4) | 149.3 (-7.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -12.4 (-4.4) | 150.6 (-8.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | UTAH 76 – 62 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 11-11 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 9-4 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#164) | -9.5 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#145) | -2.82 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#134) | -3.99 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#207) | 0.413 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.96 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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