Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | NWST +500 RICE -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +25 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -5.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -5.3 (-19.7) | 145.2 (-18.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -5.3 (-19.7) | 142.8 (-15.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -6.1 (-18.9) | 143.5 (-16.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -6.0 (-19.0) | 143.1 (-16.1) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | RICE 77 – 75 NWST |
| Dec 17, 2022 | RICE 110 – 73 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -14.2 (#351) | -4.4 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#352) | -0.58 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.18 (#350) | -0.78 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.366 (#350) | 0.478 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.0% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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