Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -450 NWST +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -4.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -5.0 (-3.0) | 132.7 (+19.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -6.1 (-4.1) | 133.9 (+18.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -5.9 (-3.9) | 132.1 (+19.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -5.9 (-3.9) | 133.1 (+18.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | RICE 76 – 51 NWST |
| Dec 17, 2022 | RICE 110 – 73 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#244) | 1.1 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#247) | -0.78 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#263) | -1.07 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#267) | 0.542 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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