Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | GASO +400 UNCW -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +5 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCW -11.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -9.0 (+4.0) | 144.0 (+15.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -9.2 (+4.2) | 143.3 (+15.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -8.6 (+3.6) | 143.5 (+15.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -8.5 (+3.5) | 141.2 (+17.8) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | UNCW 92 – 84 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-14 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#343) | 3.9 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.41 (#355) | 1.43 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.33 (#352) | 1.65 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.348 (#358) | 0.554 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 61.4% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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