The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Massachusetts Minutemen
87 79
FINAL Neutral Basketball Hall of Fame Classic
West Virginia Mountaineers
MassMutual Center (Neutral) · December 16, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WVU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money MASS +135 / WVU -155
Model Predictions
Spread Total MASS win
Actual MASS +8 166 Won
Massey MASS -7.3 (+0.7)
Massey Totals 146.1 (+19.9)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 77%
Baseline Plus ML MASS -6.6 (+1.4) 143.9 (+22.1) 76%
Baseline ML MASS -6.2 (+1.8) 142.7 (+23.3) 79%
Baseline Tuned ML MASS -7.1 (+0.9) 141.7 (+24.3) 79%
Efficiency Plus ML MASS -5.5 (+2.5) 144.7 (+21.3) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 9, 2024 WVU 7569 MASS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MASS WVU
Overall 20-11 9-23
Conference 11-7 4-14
Home 13-3 9-9
Away 4-6 0-9
Neutral 3-2 0-5
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 77.5 69.8
Avg Pts Against 70.7 76.8
Massey 6.4 (#77) -0.9 (#186)
Bradley-Terry 0.35 (#144) -0.64 (#238)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.57 (#146) -0.65 (#226)
RPI 0.546 (#112) 0.472 (#217)
Shooting & Four Factors MASS WVU
FG% 46.3% 39.8%
3PT% 32.5% 29.7%
REB / G 39.4 37.7
OREB / G 14.4 10.9
AST / TO 1.72 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 45.0%
TOV% 14.7% 18.2%
ORB% 37.0% 30.8%
FT Rate 22.9% 28.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.6% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 21.2% 14.1%
DRB% 66.5% 72.2%
Opp FT Rate 32.7% 11.6%

Game Analysis

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