Betting Lines
| Spread | IUIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN -154 LIN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -1.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -0.1 (-5.9) | 139.3 (+0.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.9 (-5.1) | 139.8 (+0.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -1.0 (-5.0) | 139.5 (+0.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -2.3 (-3.7) | 137.8 (+2.2) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | LIN 81 – 63 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 3-15 |
| Home | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -16.2 (#358) | -10.2 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#340) | -1.99 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.64 (#341) | -2.49 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#346) | 0.398 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 23.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.1% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 35.0% |
Game Analysis
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